Pivot Counties in Arkansas

2020 Election Analysis: Pivot Counties
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2020 Election Analysis Hub

Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.

Following the 2016 presidential election, Arkansas had one Pivot County.

Ballotpedia defines Pivot Counties Trump won in 2020 as Retained Pivot Counties and those Joe Biden (D) won as Boomerang Pivot Counties.

After the 2020 presidential election, that one county was a Retained Pivot County.

List of Pivot Counties

See also: Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election, Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020

The table below displays information on the Pivot County in Arkansas. This county accounted for 1.33 percent of the total counties in Arkansas, and 0.24 percent of the state population.

Analysis of Arkansas counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election
County	State	Winner, 2020	Margin of Victory, 2020	Trump Margin of Victory, 2016	Obama Margin of Victory, 2012	Obama Margin of Victory, 2008
Woodruff County	Arkansas	Retained	+27.75	+8.91	+4.21	+7.46

The map below shows the Retained Pivot County in Arkansas shaded bright red.

2020 analysis

Voter turnout

Arkansas has one Retained Pivot County, 1.3% of the state's 75 total counties. Turnout in this county accounted for 0.20% of the statewide total turnout.

Voter turnout in Arkansas and its Pivot County
	Votes cast	Voting age population	Turnout	Contribution to statewide turnout
Overview
Arkansas	1,219,069	2,195,865	55.52%	-
Retained Pivot County	2,476	5,185	47.75%	0.20%

County-specific
	Votes cast	Voting age population	Turnout	Contribution to statewide turnout
Woodruff	2,476	5,185	47.75%	0.20%

Demographics

This table displays demographic data, on average, by county compared to nationwide and statewide averages with a focus on Pivot Counties. Use the arrows at the top of the table to view 2016 data and changes from 2016 to 2020. Full demographic data can be found here.

2016 analysis

HIGHLIGHTS

There was one county in Arkansas that voted for Donald Trump in 2016, and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.

0.24 percent of the population of Arkansas resided in this one county.

Since 1960, the Pivot County in Arkansas matched the national election result in 60% of presidential elections.

Voting trends

The table below details the voting trends of the Pivot County in Arkansas since 1960.

Presidential Elections in Arkansas Pivot Counties since 1960
County	Elections won by Republican Presidential candidate		Elections won by Democratic Presidential candidate		Elections matching national result
	Elections	Percentage of elections	Elections	Percentage of elections	Elections	Percentage of elections
Woodruff County, Arkansas	2	13.33%	12	80.00%	9	60.00%

2016 election results

See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2016

In 2016, Arkansas had six electoral votes, which was 1.1 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 2.2 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election. Presidential primary elections in Arkansas took place on March 1, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 66.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 32.8 percent.

General election

U.S. presidential election, Arkansas, 2016
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine	33.7%	380,494	0
	Republican	Donald Trump/Mike Pence	60.6%	684,872	6
	Constitution	Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley	0.4%	4,613	0
	Independent	Jim Hedges/Bill Bayes	0.4%	4,709	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson/Bill Weld	2.6%	29,829	0
	Independent	Lynn S. Kahn/Kathleen Monahan	0.3%	3,390	0
	Better for America	Evan McMullin/Nathan Johnson	1.2%	13,255	0
	Green	Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka	0.8%	9,473	0
Total Votes				1,130,635	6
Election results via: Arkansas Secretary of State

Primaries

Arkansas Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Delegates
Hillary Clinton	66.3%	144,580	22
Bernie Sanders	29.7%	64,868	10
Martin O'Malley	1.3%	2,764	0
John Wolfe	1.2%	2,541	0
James Valentine	0.8%	1,687	0
Rocky De La Fuente	0.8%	1,680	0
Totals		218,120	32
Source:The New York Times

Arkansas Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate	Vote %	Votes	Delegates
Donald Trump	32.8%	133,144	16
Ted Cruz	30.5%	123,873	15
Marco Rubio	24.9%	101,235	9
Ben Carson	5.7%	23,173	0
John Kasich	3.7%	15,098	0
Mike Huckabee	1.2%	4,703	0
Jeb Bush	0.6%	2,406	0
Rand Paul	0.3%	1,127	0
Chris Christie	0.2%	651	0
Carly Fiorina	0.1%	409	0
Rick Santorum	0.1%	286	0
Lindsey Graham	0.1%	250	0
Bobby Jindal	0%	167	0
Totals		406,522	40
Source:The New York Times

See also

• List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
• Pivot Counties by state
• Presidential election, 2016