Ballotpedia's Polling Indexes

Ballotpedia's polling averages as of April 25, 2025:

Presidential approval: 45%

Congressional approval: 30%

Direction of country: 39%

Generic congressional vote: +1 Democrats

Results are updated daily by 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. Think we're missing something? Email us.

This page covers opinion polling averages during Trump's second presidential term. For details on opinion polling during Trump's first term, click here. For a comparison of opinion polling during Trump's first term and the Biden administration, click here.

• The presidential approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the president of the United States.
• The congressional approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the members of the United States Congress.
• The direction of country rating indicates public opinion as to whether the United States is moving in the right or wrong direction.

Data

Current polls

Polls included in Ballotpedia polling indexes, as of April 25, 2025

Type	Source	Date range	Positive result	Negative result	Sample size	Margin of error
Pres. Approval (average):			45%	52%
Cong. Approval (average):			30%	53%
Dir. Country (average):			39%	51%
Pres. Approval	Pew Research	4/7-4/23	40%	59%	3,589 adults	+/-1.8%
Pres. Approval	Rasmussen Reports	4/17-4/23	49%	49%	1,500 likely voters	+/-2.5%
Pres. Approval	Economist/YouGov	4/19-4/22	44%	53%	1,446 registered voters	+/-3.3%
Pres. Approval	Reuters/Ipsos	4/16-4/21	42%	53%	4,306 adults	+/-2%
Pres. Approval	Fox News	4/18-4/21	44%	55%	1,104 registered voters	+/-3%
Pres. Approval	Morning Consult	4/18-4/20	46%	52%	2,207 registered voters	+/-2%
Pres. Approval	Gallup	4/1-4/14	44%	53%	1,006 adults	+/-4%
Pres. Approval	CNBC	4/9-4/13	44%	51%	1,000 adults	+/-3.1%
Pres. Approval	CBS News	4/8-4/11	47%	53%	2,410 adults	+/-2.4%
Pres. Approval	Harvard-Harris	4/9-4/10	48%	46%	2,286 registered voters	+/-1.9%
Pres. Approval	Quinnipiac University	4/3-4/7	41%	53%	1,407 registered voters	+/-3%
Pres. Approval	Wall Street Journal	3/27-4/1	46%	51%	1,500 registered voters	+/-2.5%
Pres. Approval	TIPP	3/26-3/28	44%	45%	1,452 adults	+/-2.6%
Generic Congressional Vote	CNBC	4/9-4/13	48%	46%	1,000 adults	+/-3.1%
Generic Congressional Vote	Economist/YouGov	4/5-4/8	43%	42%	1,563 registered voters	+/-2.9%
Generic Congressional Vote	Wall Street Journal	3/27-4/1	44%	43%	1,500 registered voters	+/-2.5%
Dir. Country	Economist/YouGov	4/19-4/22	39%	53%	1,446 registered voters	+/-3.3%
Dir. Country	Rasmussen Reports	4/13-4/17	46%	48%	1,755 likely voters	+/-2%
Dir. Country	Harvard-Harris	4/9-4/10	39%	49%	2,286 registered voters	+/-1.9%
Dir. Country	Reuters/Ipsos	3/31-4/2	32%	53%	1,486 adults	+/-2.7%
Dir. Country	Wall Street Journal	3/27-4/1	41%	51%	1,500 registered voters	+/-2.5%
Cong. Approval	Economist/YouGov	4/19-4/22	25%	53%	1,446 registered voters	+/-3.3%
Cong. Approval	Harvard-Harris	4/9-4/10	35%	52%	2,286 registered voters	+/-1.9%

Methodology

Sources

For Ballotpedia's presidential approval, congressional approval, direction of the country, and generic congressional ballot polling results, we take an average of the most recent polls (from the last 30 days, with some exceptions for major news events) on one or more of these topics conducted by the following sources:

• CBS News (or CBS News and The New York Times)
• The Economist / YouGov
• Fox News
• Gallup
• Pew Research
• Quinnipiac University
• Rasmussen Reports
• Reuters / Ipsos
• USA Today / Suffolk University
• The Wall Street Journal / NBC
• The Washington Post / ABC
• Politico/Morning Consult(added March 6, 2017)
• Investors' Business Daily/TechnoMetrica (IBD/TIPP)(added April 4, 2017)
• Public Policy Polling(added April 10, 2017)
• The Marist Poll(added September 19, 2017)
• Monmouth University(added September 21, 2017)
• CNN(added September 22, 2017)
• Emerson College(added January 12, 2018)
• Harvard-Harris Poll(added February 22, 2018)
• Grinnell College(added September 12, 2018)
• ScottRasmussen.com(added September 14, 2018)
• NewsNation(added June 7, 2023)
• Civiqs(added June 15, 2023)
• Harris X(added June 16, 2023)
• Yahoo! News / YouGov(added July 21, 2023)
• The New York Times / Siena(added March 4, 2024)

Ballotpedia chose to include polls from these organizations in our averages because we regard their methodologies as broadly trustworthy and reliable. If you know of other outlets who do aggregate polling on these topics, email us. We average the results and show all polling results side-by-side because we believe that paints a clearer picture of public opinion than any individual poll can provide. The data is updated daily as new polling results from the above sources are published.

Questions

Typical poll questions asked either online or by phone include:

Presidential approval

• "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?"
• "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama has handled his job as president?"
• Some polls also allow respondents more than two options, such as Strongly Approve, Somewhat Approve, Somewhat Disapprove, or Strongly Disapprove.

Congressional approval

• "Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?"
• "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?"

Direction of country

• "Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?"
• "All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track?"
• "Would you say things in this country today are generally headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track?"

Generic congressional ballot

• "If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?"
• "Thinking about the elections in 2018, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in the district where you live?"
• "What is your preference for the outcome of this November’s congressional elections—a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

Understanding polling

Below we briefly highlight three aspects of public polling that illustrate both the complexity of polling and how polls tend to differ from one another. Understanding these concepts is key to interpreting what polls mean and underscores the value of aggregating polling results.

Contact method

Pollsters use a variety of different methods to contact potential survey participants. From the 1930s to the 1980s, pollsters generally did their work through direct contact: going door-to-door, a remarkably expensive and time-consuming method. Nowadays, pollsters rely upon telephones and the internet. Neither of these approaches comes without challenges. Fewer Americans today, for example, live in households with landlines than they did 20 or even 10 years ago. On the other hand, not every American—particularly in older generations—has a cell phone. To get around this, many pollsters call a combination of landlines and cellphones for a survey. An additional problem is that, with the rise of caller-ID, fewer people pick up the phone to participate in surveys—part of a systemic problem in the modern polling industry known as the response rate. Some pollsters have to looked to the internet as a workaround for this issue, but analysts continue to debate the accuracy and dependability of online polls.

A study by FiveThirtyEight found that variances in polls about President Trump's favorability stemmed primarily from the collection method. Polls of registered or likely voters tended to be more favorable to Trump than those that polled adults generally. Automated or online polls also resulted in more favorable rankings than those conducted with live phone calls. The data for these findings was taken from polls conducted between Feb. 1 and Feb. 19, 2017.

There are also differences among polling firms in who contacts the participants. Some phone-based surveys use live-interviewers, while others use automated interactive voice responders.

Contact methods of featured polls

Source	Contact method	FiveThirtyEight Grade*
CBS News	Live phone	N/A
The Economist / YouGov	Online	3 stars
Fox News	Live phone	N/A
Gallup	Live phone	2.5 stars
Pew Research	Live phone	2.5 stars
Quinnipiac University	Live phone	2.8 stars
Rasmussen Reports (Pres. Approval)	Automated phone + online	N/A
Rasmussen Reports (Direction of Country)	Automated phone	N/A
Reuters / Ipsos	Online	2.8 stars
USA Today / Suffolk University	Live phone	2.9 stars
The Wall Street Journal / NBC	Live phone	N/A
The Washington Post / ABC	Live phone	3 stars
Morning Consult	Online	1.9 stars
TIPP Insights	Phone	1.8 stars
Public Policy Polling	Phone + online	1.4 stars
The Marist Poll	Live phone	2.9 stars
Monmouth University	Live phone	2.9 stars
CNN	Live phone	2.8 stars
Harris Insights & Analytics	Online	1.5 stars
Emerson College	Phone	2.9 stars

*Last updated January 2025. FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings were calculated based on historical accuracy in predicting elections, sample sizes, methodology, etc. Find out more here.

The sample and margin of error

Pollsters can’t realistically contact every American adult throughout the country and ask their opinion on a given issue. Instead, they try to contact a representative sample—usually anywhere between 1,000 and 2,000 individuals—that accurately represents the country’s population as a whole. Pollsters, with the help of statisticians, demographers, and data experts, use a variety of techniques to create a representative sample. This typically involves using probability formulas and algorithms to ensure random sampling and to increase the likelihood of contacting an accurate cross-section of the U.S. adult population. Some pollsters also create panels of respondents that they believe reflect the actual population and poll them repeatedly over a span of time. These polls are usually called tracking polls. Oftentimes, pollsters weigh their respondents to account for various demographic measurements. For example, a pollster might weigh more heavily the responses from a specific demographic group if that group was poorly represented in the random sample in relation to the country’s estimated demographic composition. The same might be done if a group appears to be overrepresented.

Samples are also where margins of error (MoE) come into play. The MoE describes the potential range of variation for a poll’s results in the context of its representative sample and the actual population. For example, if a poll with a margin of error of 3 percentage points showed that 47 percent of respondents approve of candidate X, that means the pollster believes, based on the representative sample in the poll, anywhere between 44 and 50 percent of the actual population approves of candidate X. Generally speaking, a larger sample size means a smaller MoE, while a smaller sample size means a larger MoE. Other factors, such as the poll’s design, probability formulas, and weighting methods, can also affect MoE.

Question framing

Though all polling firms, in general, are after the same goal—to find out what the public thinks about a given topic or issue—they don’t always ask their questions the same way. Studies have found that differences in how questions are worded—even subtle differences—can lead to a range of results. In 2003, for example, Pew Research found that when they asked respondents if they “favor or oppose taking military action in Iraq to end Saddam Hussein’s rule,” a total of 68 percent responded that they favor military action. But when Pew added to the end of that question, “... even if it meant that U.S. forces might suffer thousands of casualties,” 43 percent responded in favor of military action.

The number of possible answers that pollsters provide to respondents has also been known to produce different results. With questions about presidential approval and disapproval, for instance, some firms only give respondents the options of saying approve or disapprove. Other firms, however, give respondents more flexibility by allowing them to respond with answers such as “strongly approve” or “somewhat disapprove.” Again, these slight differences have historically led to differing results among polling firms.

Trust in sources

Public perception of the various sources cited here varies. Pew Research published a study on this topic in 2020, detailing how members of various idealogical groups (conservatives and liberals) trusted or distrusted popular media organizations. The results from this study for the news organizations included in Ballotpedia's polling data are listed below. By providing a variety of sources of polling results side-by-side, we hope to mitigate the influence of potential bias. All of the major news sources selected for Ballotpedia's polling index were rated as more trusted than distrusted in the overall results from all respondents.

Trust levels in polling sources by ideology

The following chart includes data found in a 2024 survey by YouGov. Full results are available here.

For questions on polls and methodology, email: editor@ballotpedia.org.

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See also

Ballotpedia daily polling averages:

• Presidential approval
• Congressional approval
• Direction of country
• Generic congressional vote
• Opinion polling during the Trump administration
• Comparison of opinion polling during the Trump and Biden administrations

More on Ballotpedia:

• About Ballotpedia
• The Tap
• The Daily Brew
• 117th United States Congress
• Special elections to the 117th United States Congress (2021-2022)