Press-releases

The conflict with Ukraine: attention, support, attitude to negotiations and possible concessions, opinion on the various terms of a peace agreement in February 2025

About half of the respondents are closely following the events around Ukraine. The majority of respondents support the actions of the Russian military and believe that the special military operation is progressing successfully. More than half of the respondents support the transition to peaceful negotiations, primarily to stop the loss of life. About a third are in favor of continuing military operations, primarily to “bring the matter to an end” and “finish what was started.” According to the majority, the United States should be present at the negotiating table on ending the conflict, in addition to Russia, and one in two respondents believes that Ukraine should participate in the negotiations. The respondents rate the negotiations between Russia and the United States positively. About a third of the respondents are ready to make concessions for the sake of signing a peace agreement. The most preferred terms of the peace treaty, according to the respondents, are: exchange of prisoners of war, ensuring the rights of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine and protecting the status of the Russian Orthodox Church. The respondents consider Ukraine’s accession to NATO and the return of new territories to be unacceptable conditions.

Attention to events around Ukraine has hardly changed compared to last month: in February 2025, 53% of respondents followed the events (the sum of the responses was “very carefully” and “quite carefully”), another third of respondents (31%) followed without much attention, and 16% did not follow at all.

Older respondents (68% of respondents aged 55 and older), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (57%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (54%), those for whom television is a source of information (60%), those who support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (58%), as well as those who believe that military actions should be continued now, rather than moving to peace talks (70%).

Young people under the age of 24 (26%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (39%), those who disapprove of the activities of the current president (40%), those who receive information from social networks (48%) follow Ukrainian events with less attention. those who do not support the actions of the Russian military in Ukraine (30%), and those who believe that peace negotiations should now proceed (45%).

The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces reaches 80% (including 48% – definitely support, and 32% – rather support), previously this level of support was recorded in March 2022. At the same time, the share of respondents who do not support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine reached minimum values – 13% (5% definitely do not support, 8% rather do not support).

The level of support for the Russian military in Ukraine is higher in the following groups: older respondents (88% among respondents aged 55 and older), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (89%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (85%), those who trust television as a source of information (87%), those who believe that military operations should continue now (95%).

The level of support for the Russian military in Ukraine is lower in the following groups: young people under 24 (68%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (51%), those who disapprove of the current president (36%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source There is no information (59%), and those who believe that peace negotiations should be initiated now (73%).

Since September 2024, the share of respondents who believe that the special operation is progressing successfully has been growing – 72% (an increase of 12 percentage points). 16% of respondents say that the special military operation is progressing unsuccessfully.

Those who believe that the special operation is progressing successfully are more likely to be those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (83%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (78%), those who trust television as a source of information (84%), those who support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (81%), and those who believe that military actions should be continued now (86%).

Those who think that the special operation is progressing unsuccessfully are more likely to be those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (47%), those who disapprove of the current president (57%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (38%), those who do not support the actions of the Russian the armed forces in Ukraine (47%), those who believe that peace negotiations should now proceed (20%).

More than half of the respondents (59%) believe that peace negotiations should begin now, rather than continuing military operations. The proportion of supporters of peace talks has remained quite high over the past two months. The number of supporters of the continuation of hostilities has not changed compared to last month and remains at its minimum level – 31%.

The share of supporters of peaceful negotiations is higher among women (65%), young people under 24 years of age (76%), residents of cities with a population of 500 thousand people and more, cities with a population of up to 100 thousand people (63% each), those who think that the direction of affairs in the country is wrong (78%), those who do not approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (76%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (77%), do not support the actions of Russian armed forces in Ukraine (84%).

The share of supporters of continued military operations is higher among men (38%), respondents aged 55 and older (39%), residents of Moscow (43%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (35%), those who approve of the activities of the current president (33%), those who trust television as a source of information (34%), those who support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (37%).

Supporters of peace negotiations motivate their position by saying that “there are many victims”, “many people are dying”, “great losses” — 54%, “nobody needs war”, “they are tired” — 14%, “so that there is no war” – 13%, “people need peace”,”a poor peace is better than war” — 9%.

Those who believe that it is necessary to continue military operations now most often speak of the need to “bring it to an end”, “finish what they started”, “achieve their goals” — 41%, “eradicate fascism”, “Nazism” and “it is necessary to win”, “the victory will be ours” — 14% each%, “it is necessary to return/annex the original Russian territories” – 13%, “peace negotiations are useless”, “they will lead to nothing” — 12%.

As part of this survey, the survey experiment that had already been conducted several times before was repeated. Using a random number generator, the respondents participating in the survey were divided into two equal groups, each of which was asked a question in one of two different forms. In the first case, respondents were asked to support or not support the President’s decision to immediately end the military conflict (without any conditions). In the second case, the respondents were asked to answer whether they would or would not support the same decision, but on condition of the return of new territories.

The majority of respondents (75%) would support V. Putin’s decision if he decided “this week” to end the military conflict with Ukraine (smooth growth of 13 p.p. from May 2023). However, if V. Putin had decided “this week” to end the conflict, but with the condition of returning the annexed territories, his decision would be supported by a noticeably smaller number of Russians – a little more than a quarter of respondents – 28% (a decrease of 3 p.p. since September 2024).

Three out of ten respondents believe that for the sake of ending the special operation and signing a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, Russia should make certain concessions. Six out of ten respondents say the opposite. It is worth noting that the increase in the share of respondents who believe that Russia should make concessions is largely due to a change in wording – earlier the wording referred to concessions to Ukraine.

Young people under 24 years old (35%), residents of cities with a population of up to 100 thousand people (33%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the wrong direction (49%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (55%), those who trust information from YouTube channels (48%), those who do not support the actions of the Russian military in Ukraine (61%), those who believe that the current situation in the country is going in the wrong direction (61%). Putin’s activity as president (55%), those who trust information from YouTube channels (48%), those who do not support the actions of the Russian military in Ukraine (61%), those who believe that now it is necessary to move to peaceful negotiations rather than to continue military actions (41%).

Men (64%), older respondents (67% among respondents 55 years and older), residents of Moscow (75%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (66%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (64%), those who trust television as a source of information (67%), and those who believe that they should continue to support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (68%). Putin’s performance as president (64%), those who trust television as a source of information (67%), those who support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (68%), and those who believe that military action should continue now rather than move to peace talks (84%).

Also, during the survey, respondents were asked to evaluate various options for the terms of the peace agreement.

Thus, the most preferred conditions for concluding a peace agreement for respondents are: the exchange of Russian and Ukrainian prisoners of war – 92%, ensuring the rights of Russian–speaking citizens of Ukraine – 83%, protecting the status of the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine – 79%, establishing a government friendly to Russia in Ukraine – 73%, lifting Western sanctions against Russia – 71%, demilitarization of Ukraine the reduction of its army is 70%, the immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is 69%.

Unacceptable conditions for concluding a peace treaty for the majority of respondents are: Ukraine’s accession to NATO – 81%, the return of the LPR and DPR – 77%, the return of the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions to Ukraine – 71%.

There is no clear opinion only on the issue of the deployment of peacekeeping forces along the line of contact: 39% of respondents consider this unacceptable, 29% – preferable, and 16% – not preferable, but acceptable.

According to the majority of respondents (70%), the United States should be present at the negotiating table on ending the current conflict, in addition to Russia. One in two (49%) believes that Ukraine should be at the negotiations, three out of ten (29%) mention the countries of the European Union.

The overwhelming majority of respondents have a positive attitude towards the negotiations between Russia and the United States that took place in Saudi Arabia on the possible end of the Ukrainian conflict and the resumption of relations between the countries – 85% (including 45% – definitely positive, 40% – rather positive). Only 3% of respondents reacted negatively to the diplomatic meeting.

METHODOLOGY

The survey by the Levada Center was conducted February 20 – 26 2025, among a representative sample of all Russian urban and rural residents. The sample consisted of 1615 people aged 18 or older in 137 municipalities of 50 regions of the Russian Federation. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The distribution of responses is given as a percentage of the total number. The data set is weighted by gender, age, level of education for each type of settlement (large cities, medium cities, small towns, villages) within each Federal district independently, in accordance with Rosstat data.

The statistical error of these studies for a sample of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

3.4% for indicators around 50%

2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%

2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%

1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

Learn more about the methodology