Friday, April 25, 2025

Remembering Reagan's Zero Option: How Trump's "Tariff War" Resembles the Last Battle of the Cold War


As critics within as without the United States voice incomprehension about America's brand-new tariffs all the while raving and ranting about the move as a "war" started by Donald Trump, it is far from inappropriate to recall one of the last "battles" of the Cold War.

During the 1980s, outrage erupted all over the West as Ronald Reagan went ahead with plans (pre-dating his election) to install medium-range nuclear weapons in Western Europe.

Ronald Reagan, of course, was another heinous and brainless Republican duly detested across the globe not to mention another fascist or (neo-)Nazi who was willing to start the Third World War in addition to being the latest Adolf Hitler.

And leftists everywhere, from America to Europe West as well as East, took to the streets to protest against the deranged "Hollywood actor" and the Pershing II missiles which would, but of course, start World War III.

But here a question arises: Why was Washington (not to mention its Western European allies) in favor of alleged escalation in the first place and insistent on installing nuclear-capable theater-level weapons in (Western) Europe?

For one major reason. Because the Soviet Union had started a policy of installing nuclear-capable theater-level weapons in (Eastern) Europe. Indeed, hundreds of the USSR's SS-20s were already installed throughout the countries of the Warsaw Pact when NATO's decision went through to reestablish military balance between East and West.

But nobody ever protested the Kremlin's SS-20s. Certainly nobody in the East, but nobody in the West either.

In fact, I recall one demonstration in Paris. When one single solitary pacifist decided that he would add one single solitary sign against the SS-20s to the hundreds if not thousands of signs against Uncle Sam's Pershings, the sign was torn to pieces and the guy may even have been beaten up. (Some pacifism!)


As François Mitterrand famously said, despite being a Socialist pressured to sympathize with Moscow's communists while decoupling from Washington's capitalists, "I too am against the Euromissiles. However, I do notice some simple truths: The pacifists are in the West, while the missiles are in the East." Another Socialist, Germany's Helmut Schmidt, also went along with the deployment (before being replaced by Helmut Kohl).

Among the useful idiots was my girlfriend's sister who insisted that "Vi vil ikke forsvares med atomvåben" ("we do not want to be protected by nuclear weapons", which is akin to saying we do not want to be protected by guns, only with knives, no matter what weapons the other side has) — to the ire of the elder members of her family, some of whom had lived through the Germans' occupation of Denmark in the 1940s.

Naïve Danes wanted the country to exit the NATO structure; then, they insisted, the Russians would not invade even if they attacked the rest of the NATO countries. After the Warsaw Pact broke up, Polish and other Eastern European officers divulged Soviet military plans to the West, and needless to say, the Scandinavian country, aka the door to the Baltic Sea, would be invaded and occupied no matter what its neutrality status. Indeed, military plans allowed for half a dozen atomic bombs (or missiles) to be dropped on the country immediately as the war broke out — started unilaterally by the USSR (whose motivations the pacifists kept telling us we had to try and understand).

Between 1983 and 1985, the Pershing IIs started being installed in Western Europe. Previously, Reagan had given voice to the Zero Option, whereby no Pershings would arrive in Europe if the Kremlin removed its SS20s from the continent.

With Mikhail Gorbachev getting the top job in Moscow ("I like Mr Gorbachev, we can do business together", said Margaret Thatcher), the message got through to the Soviets that if they removed their SS20s from Eastern Europe, the Pershings would disappear as well. That is what eventually happened: Reagan's Zero Option had come around full circle and had led to the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty of 1987.

Congratulations, Ronald Reagan. (Even if — to its ever-lasting shame — the Nobel Prize Committee awarded its peace prize only to Gorbachev, leaving Reagan out to dry.)

What leftists and other useful idiots called outrageous behavior and an insane step towards World War III turned out to be the exact opposite and, indeed, a win-win situation.

Isn't this similar to what, 40 years later, is behind Donald Trump's "tariff war"?

Related: "Brutal Americans"? The issue is that we've never been brutal enough — with the evil of the world or with those who would take advantage of us, as a nation or as taxpayers

Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Bullying Deepfakes: Believe It or Not, Fake Pornography Shots Powered by AI and Meant to Harass Teens Has One Exceptionally Positive Side


Teens "falling victim" to fake pornography?! Over at Fox News (skip the blockquote below to go straight to the meat of the matter), Nikolas Lanum reports on 

A troubling trend [that] has emerged in schools across the United States, with young students falling victim to the increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered "nudify" apps that have the power to create fake pornography of classmates.

"Nudify" is an umbrella term referring to a plethora of widely available apps and websites that allow users to alter photos of full-dressed individuals and virtually undress them. Some apps can create nude images with just a headshot of the victim. 

Don Austin, the superintendent of the Palo Alto Unified School District, told Fox News Digital that this type of online harassment can be more relentless compared to traditional in-person bullying.

"It used to be that a bully had to come over and push you. Palo Alto is not a community where people are going to come push anybody into a locker. That doesn't happen. But it's not immune from online bullying," Austin said.

"The differences, I think, are worse. Now your bully can be completely anonymous. You don't even know where it's coming from," he continued.

 … "We're at a place now where you can be doing nothing and stories and pictures about you are posted online. They're fabricated. They're completely made up through AI and it can have your voice or face. That's a whole other world," he told Fox News Digital.
Seriously?! Am I the only person that sees the benefits of this "troubling trend" of online bullying?!

Think about it. 

Blackmail is now a thing of the past.

That's it.

It's over.

Whether you are a teen or an adult, whether the photos are real or not, you can simply pass all of them off — indeed, you can do so nonchalantly — as fakes or deepfakes. To your classmates, to your spouse, to your constituents. Who will know whether you are fibbing or telling the truth? (Maybe you hardly know yourself…)

(In a totally different context, of course, that is exactly what Joe Biden's White House did…) 

As it happens, a considerable size of the audience for these sex photos/videos — maybe far more than half — will already be assuming that they're fakes… (Thanks for the Instalink, Sarah.)

Depression at 16? Suicide at 17? Why fear sextortion at this point? Compliment instead the (anonymous) photo/video creators for doing a good job — for doing an outstanding job.

On my phone I keep receiving photos of Donald Trump tenderly cuddling with Joe Biden or Vladimir Putin or Stormy Daniels. Lots of apps now make you "repair" snapshots that are decades or (over) a century old, colorize them, and make them into mini-movies (the latest one I saw delighted me as it involved Civil War daguerreotypes from the 1860s).

I also keep receiving AI ads where, by combining a couple of photos of myself and of any girl (someone I know and am perhaps infatuated with or some rock or movie star or someone — Marilyn Monroe? Rudolph Valentino? Che Guevara? Queen Victoria? — who has been dead for decades) I can make myself hug or kiss that person — hungrily — on the mouth.

Years ago (long before AI), I was writing a TV script imagining a politician who was on national television and who was all of a sudden ambushed with private photos of him in a compromising position (with a woman other than his wife, with a man, with many women, with many men, at an orgy, in a BDSM cave, with a money shot, whatever…). Talk of falling victim; talk of bullying; talk of harassment (justified or otherwise)!

How should he react?

Ignore the content. And, with an admiring voice, let out a whistle and praise the work: "Wow, that's well done!"

"What do you mean?!" interrupts the TV presenter, visibly frustrated. "No no no! Don't tell me you are claiming they're fake?! We have proof that you were seen at—"

Again, this was before AI, needless to say, which only made the politician's next words even more startling: "It is so how admirable the degree to which studios have made progress with special effects!"

In my story, the politician went on to taking the photos he was in and replacing himself with Woodrow Wilson. Thereafter, he deliberately and openly creating a number of (in his case, fake) photos of other politicians — and even himself — involved in ridiculous positions (an appropriate word in more ways than one), such as with a midget, with a gorilla, and with (a young) Greta Garbo. 

Imagine if photos of Barack Obama servicing Chicago gentlemen were to appear now? 44 knows he has nothing to fret about.

Saturday, April 19, 2025

Black Writers Seem to Have No Interest in Any Author (in Any Human?) Who Ain't Black (or Who, at Best, Ain't a Member of Some Minority)


It can seem frightening when one realizes the extent to which the left has succeeded in alienating America's black community from the rest of the country.

Once a week, the New York Times Sunday Book Review features an interview with a published writer. Called By the Book and featuring a painting of the respective author by Rebecca Clarke, some of the questions are personal to the subject of the interview — which often seems to be done by email — while a handful of other questions features the exact same basic recurring inquiries, such as "What’s the last great book you read?" and what's "Your favorite book no one else has heard of?"

A number of writers are black, which is not a problem, needless to say, far from it, but you might have second thoughts and wince a mite (whatever the color of your skin) when you see the race-baitin' books that sometimes inspired the authors and notice to what degree they are exclusively, or mainly (but far from always), by other black writers (although sometimes by other minority authors, but invariably by leftists).

For instance, the favorite novelist of all time for Tiya Miles is "Toni Morrison — for her sheer bravery, breathless wordsmithing, intellectual range and incomparable understanding of our emotional and social realms. Pauline Elizabeth Hopkins came to mind as a close second. Her best-known novel [was] “Contending Forces” (published in 1900)".

A previous post on a(n in)famous football quarterback who authored a picture book was asked this question

Which books or authors inspired you as an activist?

“The Autobiography of Malcolm X,” by Alex Haley, Malcolm X and Attallah Shabazz; “Revolutionary Suicide,” by Huey P. Newton; “The Wretched of the Earth” and “Black Skin, White Masks,” by Frantz Fanon; “Pedagogy of the Oppressed,” by Paulo Freire; “Black Awakening in Capitalist America,” by Robert L. Allen; “Women, Race and Class” and “Freedom Is a Constant Struggle,” by Angela Y. Davis; “I Write What I Like,” by Steve Biko; “Slave Patrols,” by Sally E. Hadden.

Thus, that post ended with this sentence of mine: 

There you have it: … Colin Kaepernick seems to have no interest in any author (in any human?) who ain't black.

As for the question that almost invariably ends the By the Book interview in the NYT's Sunday Book Review section each week — "You’re organizing a literary dinner party. Which three writers, dead or alive, do you invite?" — Toni Morrison and James Baldwin are ubiquitous, returning again and again and again. (Thanks for the Instalink, Sarah.)

Here are some of the black authors' actual replies: for Reginald Dwayne Betts the answer is "Lucille Clifton, Harold Bloom, Toni Morrison", for Brontez Purnell it's "Sappho, Anton LaVey and Maya Angelou", and for the rapper Common it's "James Baldwin, Nas, and Kahlil Gibran", while the aforementioned Colin Kaepernick answers "James Baldwin, Alexandre Dumas and Toni Morrison."

As for Morgan Parker, the author of “Magical Negro” wanted to invite six people, not three, and not one of them not African-American:

June Jordan, Zora Neale Hurston, James Baldwin — but I’d be lying if I said I wouldn’t get just as much fun and fulfillment from a night with Angel Nafis, Danez Smith and Saeed Jones.

Regarding Glory Edim (who "created the Well-Read Black Girl book club"), she only wants four people, but needless to say, they can hardly be described as run-of-the-mill realists:

Toni Morrison, Nikole Hannah-Jones and Trevor Noah. There would be whiskey, shared laughter and candid commentary on everything. If I could add one more person, it would be Ta-Nehisi Coates!

Who can deny that Nikole Hannah-Jones, Trevor Noah, and Ta-Nehisi Coates would engage in nothing but objective, neutral, and "candid commentary"?! 

“Lovely One: A Memoir” allowed the Times to interview Ketanji Brown Jackson (otherwise known as a Supreme Court justice), and she does list two whites ("Heather McGhee. Atul Gawande. Brad Meltzer.") for her ideal dinner party, but apart from that, it's blacks and/or leftists all the way through (Tomiko Brown-Nagin’s biography, “Civil Rights Queen: Constance Baker Motley and the Struggle for Equality,” “Born a Crime,” by Trevor Noah, “Reading the Constitution: Why I Chose Pragmatism, Not Textualism,”by Justice Stephen Breyer, “All That She Carried,” by Tiya Miles, in addition to a stack of memoirs — by Cicely Tyson, Viola Davis, Michelle Obama, Sonia Sotomayor). 

What’s the last great book you read?

Tomiko Brown-Nagin’s biography, “Civil Rights Queen: Constance Baker Motley and the Struggle for Equality,” is probably the last full book I’ve read outside of work. I was just so grateful that this extraordinary woman’s experiences and contributions finally got the attention they deserved.

Indeed, Ketanji Brown Jackson adds that it "was crucial for me to maintain a relatively good relationship with my daughters. Doing that well is the essential challenge of working motherhood." Who knows? Maybe she does know what a woman is, after all!

Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Republican Tries to Debunk French Conviction that America's Change of Mind on Tech Tariffs Represents Some Sort of Defeat for Trump

Twelve hours after Erik Svane's appearance on French TV Saturday evening, the ROF spokesman was back in the BFMTV studios on (Palm) Sunday morning for another debate about Donald Trump's tariff strategy along with Beijing's muscular reaction, where the No Pasarán blogger joined Léopold Audebert and Raphaël Grably on Le Live Week-End (24:02-33:24). 

Comme le diront plus tard BFM Business, J. Bro, et l'AFP,

"Personne n'est tiré d'affaire en ce qui concerne le déséquilibre commercial et les barrières non tarifaires que les autres pays utilisent contre nous, surtout pas la Chine, qui nous traite le plus mal", a assuré le président des États-Unis sur son réseau Truth Social.

La mise en garde de Donald Trump intervient au lendemain d'une exemption de surtaxes - jusqu'à 145% pour la Chine - accordée par les autorités américaines sur les produits high-tech, smartphones et ordinateurs en tête, ainsi que sur les semi-conducteurs.


BFM TV| Le live week-end
Émission du 13 avril 2025

Tous les samedis et dimanches, Léopold Audebert vous accompagne sur BFMTV avec deux heures d'information. Reportages, pédagogie et nos invités pour comprendre l'actualité, même le weekend.
1h25min|2025|
Diffusée le 13 avril 2025 à 10h00 sur BFM TV

|

Monday, April 14, 2025

An Open Letter to President Macron: The 7 Stats About America That France Is Deliberately Concealing


What you delivered in your speech is a political fiction [Emmanuel Macron is told]. … You tax almost twice as much as the United States, in order to produce half as much growth on average.

Over at LinkedIn, ROF's Sébastien Laye sends an open letter to the President of France, advising Emmanuel Macron on a subject that the French-American economist examined last month in "Why Does Donald Trump Bother the Élites in France and Europe So Much?". In other Laye(d-back) news, Sébastien has been recording his first program "for @Frontieresmedia new streaming platform with @Macronomics1 and @pegobry_en @PolicySphere [regarding] Trump's trade and economic policies."

An Open Letter to Emmanuel Macron : The Seven Statistics About America That You Are Deliberately Hiding 

Sebastien Laye
Economist, entrepreneur (AI and Financial Services), author, teacher

An Open Letter to Emmanuel Macron: The 7 Figures About the USA You're Hiding
By Sébastien Laye, Franco-American economist, economic advisor to Republicans Overseas (also intended for European leaders, entrepreneurs, and the business media, as well as world opinion) 

Monsieur le Président,

You recently declared that "Americans will be poorer and weaker than Europeans." Such a statement, coming from a graduate of the École Nationale d'Administration (ENA), in your position, should have been based on facts. But what you delivered is a political fiction.

So here is the reality: cold, quantified, strategic, and scientific facts.

1) Growth: The United States is accelerating, Europe is stagnating

  • United States (4th quarter 2024): +2.4% annual growth trend
  • Eurozone: 0.5% (Eurostat)
  • France: barely +0.5% OFCE trend, with consumption in decline

Conclusion: The American economy is growing four times faster than the Eurozone. You talk about "weakening," we talk about leadership.

2) Unemployment: Full employment against social paralysis

  • United States: 4.1%
  • Eurozone: 6.3%
  • France: 7.5%, despite the 35-hour week, subsidized employment, and bonuses

Conclusion: You call this a model? It's a machine for excluding young people and perpetuating dependency.

3) Taxes and debt: Who is truly free?

• Mandatory tax rates:

  • France: 45.4% of GDP
  • USA: 27.7%

• Public debt:

  • France: 111% of GDP
  • USA: 100%, but in dollars, the world's reserve currency

Conclusion: You tax almost twice as much as the United States, in order to produce half as much growth on average over the past few years, and put us even deeper into debt! Who is richest?

4) Innovation, energy, sovereignty: the gap is widening

• Patents filed (2024):

  • USA: 285,000
  • France: 20,000

• Energy independence:

  • USA: net energy exporter
  • France: importer, dependent on Qatar and Germany, despite our grandparents' efforts in the nuclear sector…

Conclusion: You talk about strategic power, Americans practice it.

5) Human Capital: Talents Vote with Their Feet

• University Rankings (QS World 2024):

  • 15 American universities in the top 20
  • 0 French universities in the top 20 (it pains me to admit this, as I teach at some of France's most prestigious schools)

• Startup Funding 2024:

  • USA: $300+ billion
  • France: $15 billion

Conclusion: Brains, money, dreams—they're all heading west. Nobody dreams of France's bureaucracy!

6) Pensions: The Dividend Against Dependence

  • France: Pay-as-you-go system, chronically in deficit, with a contributor-to-retiree ratio of 1.7
  • USA: Capitalization, 401(k) accounts, Roth IRAs, growing dividends over 30 years

More than 60 million Americans receive dividends. In France, we expect the state to pay.

In America, retirement is built up from the bottom rung. In France, it is a beggar's game.

Conclusion: The French system is a fiscal Ponzi scheme, fueled by fear.
The American system rewards investment, freedom, and vision.

7) And above all… currency

• Global foreign exchange reserves:

  • US: 58.4%
  • Euro: 20.6%

Conclusion: France's currency is dependent on the dollar. America's is the global standard. You criticize America… by buying its bonds.

CONCLUSION:

Monsieur Macron, if you were an investor, you wouldn't put a single euro on the French model. You are the president of a country whose elites are trained to manage what exists, not to create the future.

You speak like a graduate of the École Nationale d'Administration (ENA). Americans act like builders.

You tax effort. Americans reward risk-taking.

You talk about future poverty. Americans are building intergenerational wealth.

And if you want to check, ask your government ministers where they buy their real estate, where they educate their children, and where they invest their money.

And as President Trump would say: “America is not declining. It’s just that Europe has stopped climbing.”

“We are not weaker. We are freer, richer, and always one step ahead.”

Monsieur le Président, I invite you to meet in January 2026 to calmly compare the real 2025 figures for the USA and France, and not to discuss any particular sentiment.


En V.O. — en français :

Lettre ouverte à Emmanuel Macron : Les 7 chiffres sur les USA que vous occultez

Sebastien Laye
Economist, entrepreneur (AI and Financial Services), author, teacher

Lettre ouverte à Emmanuel Macron : Les 7 chiffres sur les USA que vous occultez

Par Sébastien Laye, économiste franco-américain, conseiller économique Republicans Overseas

(destinée aussi aux dirigeants européens, aux entrepreneurs, aux médias économiques et à l’opinion mondiale)

Monsieur le Président,

Vous avez récemment déclaré que « les Américains seront plus pauvres et plus faibles que les Européens ». Une telle affirmation venant d’un énarque, dans votre position, aurait dû être fondée sur des faits. Mais ce que vous avez livré est une fiction politique.

Voici donc la réalité, froide, chiffrée, stratégique, scientifique.

1. Croissance : les États-Unis accélèrent, l’Europe stagne

•           États-Unis (Q4 2024) : +2,4 % de croissance tendance annuelle

•           Zone euro : 0,5 % (Eurostat)

•           France : à peine +0,5 % tendance OFCE, avec une consommation en berne

Conclusion : l’économie américaine croît quatre fois plus vite que la zone euro. Vous parlez d’affaiblissement, nous parlons de leadership.

2. Chômage : le plein emploi contre la paralysie sociale

•           États-Unis : 4,1 %

•           Zone euro : 6,3 %

•           France : 7,5 %, malgré 35 heures, emplois aidés, et primes

Conclusion : Vous appelez cela un modèle ? C’est une machine à exclure les jeunes et à entretenir la dépendance.

3. Impôts et dette : qui est vraiment libre ?

•           Taux de prélèvements obligatoires :

•           France : 45,4 % du PIB

•           USA : 27,7 %

•           Dette publique :

•           France : 111 % du PIB

•           USA : 100 %, mais en dollars, monnaie de réserve mondiale

Conclusion : Vous prélevez presque deux fois plus que les États-Unis pour produire moitié moins de croissance en moyenne sur les dernières années, et nous endetter encore plus !. Qui est le plus riche ?

4. Innovation, énergie, souveraineté : l’écart se creuse

•           Brevets déposés (2024) :

•           USA : 285 000

•           France : 20 000

•           Indépendance énergétique :

•           USA : exportateur net d’énergie

•           France : importateur, dépendant du Qatar et de l’Allemagne, malgré l’effort nucléaire de nos grands-parents ….

Conclusion : Vous parlez de puissance stratégique, nous la pratiquons.

5. Capital humain : les talents votent avec leurs pieds

•           Classement des universités (QS World 2024) :

•           15 américaines dans le top 20

•           0 française dans le top 20 (il m’en coûte de le dire, enseignant dans certaines de nos prestigieuses écoles)

•           Startup funding 2024 :

•           USA : 300+ milliards USD

•           France : 15 milliards

Conclusion : Les cerveaux, l’argent, les rêves — ils vont tous à l’ouest. Personne ne rêve de France Bureaucratie !

6. Retraites : le dividende contre la dépendance

•           France : système par répartition, en déficit chronique, avec un ratio cotisants/retraités de 1,7

•           USA : capitalisation, comptes 401(k), Roth IRA, dividendes croissants sur 30 ans

Plus de 60 millions d’Américains reçoivent des dividendes. En France, on attend que l’État paie.

Chez nous, la retraite se construit. Chez vous, elle se mendie.

Conclusion : Le système français est un schéma Ponzi fiscal, entretenu par la peur. Le système américain récompense l’investissement, la liberté, et la vision.

7. Et surtout… la monnaie

•           Réserves de change mondiales :

•           USD : 58,4 %

•           Euro : 20,6 %

Conclusion : Votre monnaie est dépendante du dollar. La nôtre, c’est l’étalon de la planète. Vous critiquez l’Amérique… en achetant ses obligations.

Conclusion :

Monsieur Macron, si vous étiez un investisseur, vous ne mettriez  pas un euro sur le modèle français. Vous êtes le président d’un pays dont les élites sont formées à gérer l’existant, pas à créer l’avenir.

Vous parlez comme un énarque. Nous agissons comme des bâtisseurs.

Vous taxez l’effort. Nous récompensons la prise de risque.

Vous parlez de pauvreté future. Nous construisons la richesse intergénérationnelle.

Et si vous voulez vérifier, demandez à vos ministres où ils achètent leurs biens immobiliers, où ils scolarisent leurs enfants, et où ils placent leur argent.

Et comme dirait le président Trump :

“America is not declining. It’s just that Europe stopped climbing.”

“We are not weaker. We are freer, richer, and always one step ahead.”

Monsieur Le Président , je vous donne rendez-vous en Janvier 2026 pour comparer froidement  les vrais chiffres 2025 USA/France, et non discuter d’un quelconque ressenti.

You Still Don't Understand Donald Trump, Says U.S. Guest to the Europeans on French TV, or Take Him Seriously

Saturday evening, ROF's Erik Svane was among the guests on BFMTV's Week-End Soir (59:38-1:23:25), where the No Pasarán blogger shared the screen with Olivier Malteste, Pierre Picquart, and Olivier Ravanello, talking about Donald Trump's tariff strategy and Beijing's muscular reaction. The ROF spokesperson was surprised by how much he was allowed to speak, with few if any interruptions, and Erik considers this one of his best appearances on French television of the past quarter century.

It seems to me that — for once — I was allowed to speak more than any of the other guests and, out of the corner of my eye, I noticed that the presenter, Anne Seften, was not listening because she was in a strong whispering argument with the producers by earphone, which I took to mean they pushing for her to intervene and shut me up.

The segment, which focused on China, was followed by a segment on American-Iranian relations, but where no American or no outright pro-Trump guest (American or foreign) was present (1:23:25-1:38:56).


Émission du 12 avril 2025

Le vendredi, samedi et dimanche soir, Anne Seften est à la tête de Week-End Soir : un rendez-vous pour décrypter et débattre, au cœur de l’actualité.
1h39min|2025| 
Diffusée le 12 avril 2025 à 22h00 sur BFM TV

Sunday, April 13, 2025

The Perils of Consumerism


Having created another handful of tongue-in-cheek posters — this time, on the perils of consumerism — at Behancé, Damian Bennett writes that

It’s not just celebrities.​​​​​​​ “About 6% of Americans struggle with compulsive buying behavior.” It’s epidemic. It’s a national disorder.

■ Why We Buy Things We Don’t NeedNovember 21, 2022 [Spoiler, its the dopamine.]

Much of this buying is on credit, which is debt, and cumulative debt — unless you are the government  eventually outruns credit

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Silicon Valley against China: the Trump administration needs to step up America's artificial general intelligence (AGI) game


“What distinguishes leaders from laggards and greatness from mediocrity is the ability to uniquely imagine what could be,” American author Robert Fritz once boldly asserted.

With artificial general intelligence on the horizon and with the U.S. edge in artificial intelligence systems dwindling by the day, ROF's Sébastien Laye explains in the Washington Examiner that the stakes are increasing for America to step up its artificial general intelligence game.

The risks for U.S. leadership are significant. As we have seen with numerous benchmarks — the Turing Test, exhibiting human intelligence equivalent behavior, was officially passed by AI once and for all last week — the Trump administration needs to get serious about the approaching AGI horizon and care about its definition. No one wants to see XYZ lab in Silicon Valley coming up with its own definition of AGI and suddenly claiming the prize.

The Chinese are leading contenders too, but I do not believe the Deep Seek/cheap models/open-source triad really matter here for AGI. These will be valuable following AGI’s arrival. And that’s where the United States finds itself in a predicament. It currently holds the most formidable, unassailable position for AI diffusion: it leads in semiconductor design, data centers, chips, commercial models and deployment. Yes, there are some weak spots, despite the smart decisions taken by the new Administration (deregulation, energy, permitting, project Stargate and the massive infrastructure effort).

As recently observed by Navin Girishankar and Matt Pearl at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, we lack a cohesive digital infrastructure when it comes to networks, grids, and communications infrastructures. Our telecommunications equipment makers are global laggards, and if the administration is so proactive for data centers and chip manufacturing, it should also take care of digital infrastructure.

 … One reason the AGI race is imbalanced is that it pits Silicon Valley against China. The Chinese Communist Party can really structure the whole pipeline of efforts, even though it also relies on a bevy of companies. Thus far, the U.S. has let Silicon Valley rule the game. The U.S. free market system believes that entrepreneurs and innovators are the ones who will eventually win the race against the authoritarian states.

WHY TRUMP’S TARIFFS ARE HARMFUL

Nevertheless, it is time for the Trump administration to go all in. Silicon Valley has no strategic experience in counterespionage, security, and military applications, albeit slowly changing with Anduril and Palantir. The federal government needs to boldly step up to structure the nationwide AGI effort. It should take the burden of security and safety from the commercial labs. The Defense Department can share crucial physical information, for example, to accelerate AI research and robotics and to allow companies to manufacture cutting-edge products for national defense.

More importantly, there are aspects of AGI that the commercial laws are not focused on. We should fund public research at the National Science Foundation laboratories, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, and the AI Safety Institute. We should also pursue moonshot projects that will complement commercial models. Only through this public-private, coordinated effort will we triumph when it comes to new powerful AI systems.

Also by Sébastien Laye: • Trumponomics — What Does It Entail, How Is It Misunderstood, and What Is Trump's Endgame?
Why Does Donald Trump Bother the Élites in France and Europe So Much?

Friday, April 11, 2025

"Undocumented Worker": The Left's Preferred Expression for "Illegal Alien" Is False and Misleading

"Everybody has the right to papers!" thunders one outraged Democrat after another, as the usual Locofocos and Drama Queens castigate (allegedly) undemocratic laws demanding that illegal aliens show documentation. (Except of course, one is tempted to ask what the big deal is when, if liberals had their way, nobody actually would need papers anywhere when they show up to cast a vote in an election…)

Well — as I have been writing on this blog for the past 15 years — it so happens that every illegal alien in the United States is documented; every illegal alien in the United States does have papers.

Mexican papers.

(Well, sometimes, they have Honduran papers, or Guatemalan papers, or Venezuelan papers, or Filipino papers, or Kazakh papers, or Chinese papers, or some other papers, but let's keep using Mexico as an illustrative example…)
 
• "Undocumented Worker": The Left's Preferred Expression for "Illegal Alien" Is False and Misleading
It So Happens That Every Illegal Alien in America Already Does Have Papers 


If a foreigner, say an American, were to head to Mexico, for however short (a vacation) or however long a period (to work there) — and whether he entered the country legally or not (!) — he still, guess what, he still has papers. He has his American papers! Offhand, he has his driver's license, various IDs, and/or his passport…
 
True, a number of the Mexican and Central American illegals, many of them paupers, may not physically have papers in their pockets to produce, as is the case with many of their respective countrymen, but still, offhand, the "undocumented" immigrants retain as many (or as few) papers, and rights, as any other citizen of their own country before they emigrated, legally or otherwise.

Everybody has the right to papers, but not everybody has the right to American papers!

What is there to be outraged about here? The equivalent is true for Americans, and for other Westerners — for instance the Yanqui Gringo mentioned above, who does not have the right (or an automatic right) to Mexican papers. Just as I, a foreigner living in Paris, do not have right — certainly, not an automatic right — to French papers and do not have the right to vote in French elections (it is not a right I would want — no offense intended — and I would never castigate the French for failing to give it to me or to any other foreigner)…

If I had the time, we could enter a discussion regarding the difference between natural rights (which every individual on Earth has) and civic rights (or citizen rights, which depend on the country you are — legally — living in, whatever part of the globe that country is located in), but I don't, so I will just suggest you read the books of Harry Jaffa

To return to Mexico, nothing in Mexican law presupposes that our American expatriate be given, say, a job (or that he have the freedom to choose any job he wants) in Mexico or that, say, he vote in Mexican elections. Indeed, reports on Mexico's own problem with illegal aliens (Central Americans that cross over that nation's Southern border) point out to quite a few problems in that country (the one allegedly martyred by white American racists), far worse than anything in the United States, with Amnesty International calling "the abuse of migrants in Mexico a major human rights crisis".

Indeed, as JammieWearingFool puts it (gracias por el Professor Reynolds),
No wonder they're all moving to the Nazi-like, fascistic, police-state of Arizona.
Now, if any Mexicans, say the citizens of the estado de Chihuahua, want American papers, there is a simple solution: I suggest that they ask that the state be annexed by the United States. (Don't be so quick to issue a snort. I'm sure quite a few Mexicans would be more than willing to see that happen…)

 
Our ol' chum, Damian Bennett, points out that
What is most annoying about lefty 'journos' is they are shamelessly stupid. Not incidentally stupid, not I-was-born-this-way stupid, not one-off stupid, not oopsie stupid but doggèdly deliberate doublethink donkey stupid.

There is no red-pilling them. They will go to their graves stupid.
In that perspective — that of the left's Locofocos and its Drama QueensDamian Bennett goes on to point to a lengthy list of articles about illegal immigrants, focusing on Venezuela's ultra-violent Tren de Aragua gang members.
A leaked security briefing details the dangers of a transnational criminal cartel operating inside the USA

The thrust of the article seems plausible given the facts of the case, and DJT certainly thinks so...


...but I think the wrong culprit has been fingered. Connect the mazey dots below:

Trump tablesets...
...the 'resistance' has long readied its pan-policy response...
...and on and on and on and now bears its violent fruit...
...all this followed by the Democrats poker tell of projecting elsewhere what they themselves are about:
Why indeed. Yet:
So much more of this but enough to paint the picture of a Democrat party that is primed and prepared for, and openly prompts violence. But who to carry out the violence against the Trump administration and electorate? Not the cosplay Antifa soy boys and low-T bullies. [Pause to ponder.] 

Hhmmm, an ultra-violent criminal organization with strategically seeded beachheads across America fits the bill. 

So back to your article, it is not Venezuela invading America, that's not credible. How would two-left-hands Venezuela manage an invasion? Venezuela is only the broker for Tren de Aragua's business expansion. (I add in passing that Tren de Aragua is more organized, disciplined, operationally capable, and financially tenable than the Maduro government.) What is credible is Venezuela providing a sleeper paramilitary force that is deep-state funded on the American side, to be activated in extremis. What the deep state wants is to destroy Trump47 and his supporters not the lucrative real estate and commercial opportunities of America.

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